The
former US Ambassador to Nigeria, John Campbell has said that despite
the strength of the opposition, President Jonathan may emerge the winner
of the March 28 polls.
He said this in a report titled “Nigeria’s 2015 Presidential Election: Contingency Planning Memorandum Update,”
A
parts of the report read: “The APC is stronger than its predecessors
(Action Congress of Nigeria and Congress for Progressives Change) and
reflects a splintering of the political classes.”
“The
government’s inability to defeat Boko Haram, the economic hardships
brought on by falling oil prices, and a growing public perception that
the Jonathan administration is weak has fuelled support for the All
Progressives Congress. Though the APC’s voter base is in the North, it
enjoys support all over the country, unlike the opposition in 2011.
“It
is uncertain whether any provisions will be made for voters in the
three northern states placed under a state of emergency because of Boko
Haram, as well as the estimated one million people displaced by the
insurgency.
“These
displaced voters would likely support Buhari and the APC; their
exclusion would benefit Jonathan and the People’s Democratic Party
(PDP). Thus despite the strength of the opposition, Jonathan remains the
likely winner.”
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